ব্রাজিলিয়ান সিরি বি সপ্তাহ ১২

**সিরি B-এর 12তম সপ্তাহ: মজা-মজা-ভয়ঙ្ផ

আমি 10+বছর European leagues-এ analysis-এইড়াছি, but Brazil’s Serie B is unmatched in unpredictability. This week: seven matches ended in draws or narrow margins; only three teams kept clean sheets. Over 80% games had goals after the 75th minute — not luck. Pattern.

Avg shots on target: 4.8 per game (up from last year’s 4.3), but conversion rate dropped to just 13%. Quality was there — execution failed.

Visual cue: xG vs actual goals chart — showing attacking inefficiency.

অপ্রত্যাশিততা: ‘গড়’য় ‘খেল’

Five games ended in draw despite both teams having over 60% possession at some point. Momentum shifts like a tropical storm.

Criciúma vs Avaí (1–1): Criciúma had >70% possession but missed five clear chances. Avaí scored from a corner — exactly as predicted by our set-piece xG model.

Vila Nova vs Curitiba (2–0): Rare clean sheet for Vila Nova (bottom-half team). They limited Curitiba to just two shots inside the box — low-block discipline now among top five in Serie B.

That’s why I love this league: data says one thing; football says another.

উত্তরণের ‘চুল’—কেউই ‘ফথওয়’?

Amazon FC now third after beating Vitória de Sete Lagoas — impressive defensively too: only four goals conceded in six games since June.

Criciúma? Once seen as relegation candidates are now near automatic promotion spots thanks to strong away form (three wins this month).

Ferroviária? Lost twice this week including a penalty miss against Bahia — but still top in expected goals per match (xG/90 = 1.44), suggesting rebound soon.

It’s not just about results — it’s about timing and pressure under real conditions.

চূড়ান्त_ধারণা_আশা_আগাম_ভবিষ্ৎ

Next weekend’s key clashes: Avaí vs Goiás and Criciúma vs Coritiba. Both crucial for mid-table positioning. Home advantage looks strong… but history shows it doesn’t always win here.

Based on head-to-head + injury reports + pressing intensity: The safest bet? Draw between Goiás and Criciúma, ~35% odds. Risk-reward? Bet on Coritiba winning by one goal, though expect drama till stoppage time.

Football isn’t chess—but treat it like an algorithm with emotional variables? You’ll survive longer than most fans. The real question isn’t who wins… it’s who lasts until May.