Brazilian Serie B Round 12: A Data-Driven Breakdown

As a Premier League data analyst with a soft spot for South American football, I couldn’t resist diving into the numbers behind Brazil’s second division. The 12th round of Serie B delivered its usual mix of nail-biters and tactical puzzles – let’s dissect them with cold hard stats and just a pinch of that Brazilian flair.

The Draw Specialists: Volta Redonda & Avaí

The 1-1 stalemate between Volta Redonda and Avaí on June 17th was statistically fascinating. Both teams hovered around 1.2 xG (expected goals), proving they created quality chances but lacked clinical finishing. Avaí’s equalizer came in the 78th minute – their fifth goal conceded between minutes 75-90 this season, highlighting late-game defensive fragility.

Botafogo SP’s Surgical Precision

Botafogo SP’s 1-0 victory over Chapecoense on June 20th was a masterclass in efficiency. With just 42% possession, they converted their lone big chance while limiting Chapecoense to 0.8 xG. Their center-back pairing won 83% of aerial duels – a key factor against Chapecoense’s physical frontline.

The Relegation Six-Pointer: Amazonas FC 2-1 Vila Nova

This June 22nd clash had all the desperation of a relegation battle. Amazonas’ winning goal came from a set-piece (their eighth such goal this season), while Vila Nova’s xG of 1.8 suggests they were unlucky not to score more. Keep an eye on Amazonas’ set-piece coach – he might be Serie B’s most underrated signing.

Tactical Trendspotting

Teams playing 4-2-3-1 formations averaged 1.4 goals per game this round, compared to just 0.9 for traditional 4-4-2 setups. Also noteworthy: matches featuring early goals (before 30’) produced 3.2 total goals on average versus 1.7 for scoreless first halves.

Looking Ahead

The upcoming rounds promise fireworks as teams jockey for promotion spots. Pay special attention to:

• Paraná’s improving defense (three clean sheets in five games)
• Goiás’ away form (only one loss in their last six road trips)
• The growing influence of VAR decisions (three overturned calls this round alone)

Serie B continues to deliver narratives worthy of a telenovela – just with better statistics.